Tampa Bay at New York

Tampa Bay has won eight straight in this matchup. But, we like the total here more than the side. Tampa Bay has gone OVER in 7 of 11 games thus far including four of the last five. The Islanders are also an OVER team and they have gone OVER in four of their last five games as well. Tampa's defense is horrendous, especially on the road where they are allowing 4.8 goals per game on average. New York has allowed 3.7 per game on the year and 4.8 per game over their last five. Tampa Bay is 17-7 OVER this season and last when facing a team that allows 3+ goals per game. They are also 16-2 OVER vs. teams getting outscored by opponents by 0.5+ goals per game. New York is 17-4 OVER off a home loss over the same span. This one should sail OVER the total.