Tampa Bay at New Jersey

Both of these teams started hot, but have fallen on hard times. Each has lost five games in a row. The location here is the key factor in this pick as the Lightning are just 3-8 away from home while the Devils are 6-4 at home. New Jersey has the better defense, even with Brodeur out. Tampa Bay has allowed 3.6 goals per game on the road this season while New Jersey has been stout at home (2.4 per game allowed). Over the past two seasons, Tampa Bay is 0-9 on the road revenging a loss as they are here. And over that same span, New Jersey is 22-9 at home as a favorite in the -100 to -150 range. Take the Devils here.