Tampa Bay at Montreal

This is the fifth straight road game for Tampa Bay, off a 4-2 loss at Ottawa. Tampa Bay recorded only 21 shots against the Senators, with just one of those shots coming during four unsuccessful power-play chances. Tampa Bay is 28-16 UNDER the total when facing a team with a winning percentage between 25% to 40% in the first half of the season. They face a Montreal squad led by defensive-minded coach Claude Julien. Since he's been coach of the Canadiens, they are 103-81 UNDER the total. Montreal is also is 30-17 UNDER against teams that outscore their opponents by 0.3+ goals per game, plus 9-2 UNDER at home playing with two days of rest. Play the UNDER.