Tampa Bay at Montreal

Tampa Bay is 11-5 at home but just 2-12 on the road! While scoring 3.5 goals per game at home, they average just 2.4 on the road - a 1.1 goal difference. On defense, it gets worse. They give up just 2.3 goals per game at home but 4.1 per game on the road - a whopping 1.8 goals per game difference! Montreal is no defensive stalwart but it doesn't matter as the Lightning are 3-9 this year vs. defenses allowing 2.9+ goals per game. Montreal on the puckline here.