This pick was released to clients on February 25, 2024 at 10:45AM ET.
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Tampa Bay at Detroit

February 25, 2023
img8:07 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Detroit has been surging, but the Lightning will be a tough out as they look for payback for a 7-4 loss to the Red Wings in December. Tampa Bay was embarrassed by four fourth-period goals by Detroit and Brian Elliott was in net that night and it will likely be Andrei Vasilevskiy tonight for the Lightning, which have won 16 of their past 21 Saturday games. Also, Tampa Bay is 37-14 its past 51 games playing with one day of rest and its has won 11 of 15 meetings at Detroit. The Red Wings are 28-64 versus teams with .600 winning percentages and they have lost 46 of 66 against teams that scored at least five goals their previous game. Tampa Bay outshot Buffalo 41-23 and rallied from a 5-3 deficit before losing in overtime on Thursday for their third straight OVER. Eight of the past 11 meetings in Detroit have gone OVER and the Red Wings are 19-5-3 OVER versus a team that scored at least five goals its previous game. Tampa bay is 5-2-1 OVER its past eight on the road. Take the Lightning as a Max Play and the OVER.

2 units on Tampa Bay -160 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 3.25)
Result:
WIN
1.5 units on Game Total OVER 6 -125 (risk 1.5 to return 2.7)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
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Detroit Red Wings
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