Tampa Bay at Boston

The Tampa Bay offense gained a quick reputation of being a force as they scored 37 times in their first seven games. They have since scored 2 or less in 19 games. While they averaged 5.4 over their first seven games, they have topped that average in just one game since. Boston has defended well all season, but over the second half, the offense has not been as strong as it was early. The result has been a 19-8-4 UNDER mark over their last 31 games. The Lightning is 6-0 to the UNDER in their last six when facing a team that allowed 5+ in their last contest. Boston enters havng posted a 7-0-2 mark to the UNDER at home in their last nine vs. a team that has a road winning percentage of less than .400. Go with the UNDER.