St. Louis at Anaheim

The Ducks have won seven of eight games since Teemu Selanne's return. Now they get lowly St. Louis at home. How can they lose? Exactly! This is a perfect let-down situation for Anaheim. They were playing very poorly before Selanne came back. They were nervous and motivated. He provided a spark and they have now gotten to a very confident position. They now believe again and it's easy to take a deep breath and underestimate the Blues here, a bad team off an embarrassing 5-1 loss to the NHL's worst team (LA). That loss however will motivate the Blues players who have as much pride as anyone. So, we get an (over)confident team vs. a motivated one. Let's not let that LA loss cloud the fact that St. Louis is playing very good hockey right now. In the five games prior to that loss, the Blues went 4-1 outscoring their foes by a combined score of 19-7! Anaheim is just 3-12 this season vs. poor offensive opponents (those averaging under 27 shots on goal per game). They are also just 21-16 as home favorite of -200 or more the past two seasons. Should Anaheim win? Yes. Will they? We think there's a 50% chance of the Blues taking this and at +190, that's a ton of value. We think St. Louis will score which also bodes well for the OVER here against his low line of 5. The Blues are 10-3 OVER this season after scoring 0 or 1 goal last game and they are 14-6 OVER after two straight OVERs the past two seasons. St. Louis and the OVER here.