This pick was released to clients on August 09, 2012 at 4:32PM ET.
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Pittsburgh at Ottawa

April 14, 2007
img3:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Pittsburgh got hammered in game one, showing that they aren't really up to this. Ottawa players and coaches are well aware of their 0-6 game two playoff record following a game one win. They will break that string here to go up 2-0. Pittsburgh's inexperience showed in game one (13 players making playoff debuts). Their defense is very suspect. They averaged 3.5 per game allowed on the road during the regular season and gave up six last game. They will surely put together a better defensive performance here but will they score enough to come close? Not likely as Ottawa allows just 2.5 goals per game at home and last game their defense made a statement. Pittsburgh is 10-3 UNDER the past two seasons on the road vs. very good teams that outscore opponents by 0.5+ goals per game. They are 17-9 UNDER this season revenging a road loss and 14-7 UNDER following a road loss. They are also 12-5 UNDER after a loss by 2+ goals this season. Ottawa, after having a commanding lead ended up allowing some meaningless goals last game. They will also come out with renewed defensive energy here. Take Ottawa and the UNDER

2 units on Game Total UNDER 6.5 -116 (risk 2 to return 3.72)
Result:
LOSS
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