Philadelphia at Buffalo

After winning the first two games here in Buffalo by a combined score of 11-4, the Sabres lost two on the road in Philly. Now that they are back at home, Buffalo looks to take the all-imporant fifth game to go up 3-2. Buffalo lost the last game in close fashion, 4-5. It was very uncharacteristic for them to allow 5 goals. This season they are 10-3 following games in which they allowed 5+ goals. The Sabres love playing at home. They are 29-14 at home where they won by an average score 3.8 to 2.7! Despite the two losses, they are averaging 4.2 goals per game and allowing just 2.6 over their last five games. Philadelphia got the two wins but they are allowing 3.6 goals per game over their last five games and 3.2 on the year. Buffalo's defense is much better and at home their offense is nearly unstoppable. I see nothing trending in the opposite direction. Home team heere big.