Philadelphia at Atlanta

Philly games are averaging well over 6 goals at home, but on the road, their games are averaging just 5.5 per game. On the road, this team is 18-9 UNDER! Atlanta's defense is very poor but their weak offense balances that out. Over the past five games, the Thrashers have scored more than 2 goals just once, getting shutout twice as well. This season when playing losing teams, the Flyers are 11-3 UNDER. They are 11-2 UNDER vs. teams allowing 2.9+ goals per game. I like this one to come in at 6 or fewer goals.