Ottawa at Pittsburgh

Ottawa ha won four of five games. But, only one of those wins came on the road. This team is very different away from home. They score 3.7 per game at home and allow 2.5. But on the road they score 3.3 and allow 3.1. They are just mediocre away from home. Pittsburgh is similar. They play very poor defense on the road but at home they are solid. They score 3.4 per game and allow 2.6. Right now they are on a scoring binge having scored 4.1 goals per game over their last seven games on way to a 6-1 mark. The Penguins are 12-3 in their last fifteen vs. poor defensive teams that allow 30+ shots on goal per game. They are also 10-1 in their last eleven home games vs. teams scoring 2.9+ per game. We expect Pittsburgh to keep Ottawa's offense in check. The Senators are 18-14 UNDER on the road this season and 24-14 UNDER the past two seasons on the road vs. winning teams. Pittsburgh is 20-15 UNDER at home. Take Pittsburgh and the UNDER.