Ottawa at Carolina

Ottawa is playing great on offense, but horribly on defense (allowing 4.2 goals per game in their last five games). Carolina is 8-6 at home, scoring 3.1 goals per game. Road favorites of -200 or less off a road win by 2+ goals actually lose outright 65% of the time during the first half of the NHL season. In December games, favorites of any size off a road win by 2+ goals lose 62% of the time. Carolina, since last season, is 10-3 vs. teams at 60%+. They are also 11-3 after a loss this season. When these teams met in October, 8 goals were scored. Ottawa games are averaging 8 goals per game over their last five. Carolina is 12-3 OVER in games vs. teams that get 30+ shots per game this season. Carolina +1.5 goals here and the OVER.