When the total in NHL games start flirting with 6 it is time to take a close look at the UNDER. Looking at every game with a total of 6 or more, it shows a 47.9% win rate on the OVER, so the vig is vanished. Arizona opened the season at 4-0-1 to the OVER, but has since seen their games play to a 6-2 mark to the UNDER, including four of their last five games producing an average of just 4 total goals scored. The Islanders also started as an OVER team with five of their first six playing OVER the total, but they have now played four straight to the UNDER with the average total goals scored just over 4. The Islanders own six straight games UNDER the total on the road, and Arizona is 15-6-1 to the UNDER in their last 22 at home. This one appears over done, so play on the UNDER.
This pick was released to clients on November 08, 2014 at 9:48AM ET.
NHL
New York at Arizona
November 8, 2014
8:05 PM Eastern
1 unit on Game Total UNDER 6 -130 (risk 1 to return 1.77)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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