Nashville at Toronto

Nashville is scoring just 2.5 goals per game on the road although their scoring has picked up of late. Regardless of what they are doing on offense, we know Toronto is going to have a relatively easy time scoring on this Predators defense. Nashville is allowing over 3 goals per game on the season and they have allowed their last three opponents to each score 4+ (13 toal goals). Toronto has put up eight goals in their last two games and they are getting 3.3 per game on the season at home. Nashville is 11-32 the pats three seasons on the road vs. teams that score 3+ goals per game. They are also 8-14 over that span after allowing 4+ goals in two straight games. Toronto is 11-4 OVER at home this season. Nashville is 11-3 OVER this season vs. teams that allow 17.5%+ power play conversion and 9-1 OVER if those teams also allow 29+ shots on goal per game. We like Toronto -1.5 and the OVER here.