Montreal at Tampa Bay

Both of these teams are playing well with both teams winning four of their last five. Basically the home team here has the edge thanks to location. Montreal is a weak road team. They are sub-.500 and score just 2.5 goals per game away from home. It will be tough for the Canadiens to score tonight against a Lightning team that holds opponents to 2.5 per game at home. Montreal did lose their last game 2-4 at Ottawa. This is their sixth straight away from home and they are just 14-22 off a road loss the past two seasons. They are also 14-26 over that span after allowing 4+ goals last game. Finally, since last season the Canadiens are 1-10 on the road after three straight on the road. I like the Lightning here.