Montreal at Pittsburgh

The Penguins don't usually give up much on home ice as 19 of their last 28 home games, going back to last season, has seen the opponent score two times or less, that is 68% of the time. That puts pressure on the Penguins’ offense to score big to push this one over, which won't be easy vs. a Montreal team that has allowed just seven goals in their last four road games, less than two per contest. The Canadiens are playing UNDER against an opponent that allowed two or less goals in their last game at a 10-1 clip in their last 11. At home the stingy Penguins have played UNDER at a 8-3-1 clip in their last 12. I like this one to stay UNDER the total.