Montreal at Pittsburgh

Montreal has had a tough time scoring of late (2.4 goals per game over their last five) but their defense has been solid all season. Pittsburgh has found some offense but also defense (allowing 2.4 per game over their last five). The Canadiens are 11-16 following a win or tie this season as they have trouble putting together back-to-back solid performances. NHL games with a total of 6+ featuring a weak defensive home team off a shutout win have gone UNDER 25 out of 28 times in second-half season play over the past decade. Montreal is a perfect 9-0 UNDER on the road this season vs. teams that give up 3+ goals per game. They are also 9-1 UNDER on the road following a divisional game. Pittsburgh is 11-5 UNDER at home vs. good offensive teams that average 30+ shots on goal per game. We like a low scoring game with Pittsburgh coming out on top.