This pick was released to clients on August 09, 2012 at 3:20PM ET.
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Los Angeles at Anaheim

March 18, 2007
img8:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

We faded Anaheim as a big home favorite last week. Sure enough they were caught sleeping against Columbus and lost as a -350 favorite. Not again. That surely woke them up and we look for them to make sure they don't repeat the same mistake here. No sleep-walking in this game. Instead, we expect to see them exert their supreme advantages here. LA is just 9-25 on the road this season, allowing 3.8 goals per game. Anaheim is 25-13 at home and 4-1 in their last five games. They are destroying everyone in their path (save Columbus). Over the last five games, they are winning by an average score of 4.0 to 2.2 and that includes the 5-4 loss to the Blue Jackets. Losing road dogs of +200 to +300 having lost 5+ of their last seven games are just 5-34 vs. winning teams over the past five seasons in second-half play. The Ducks are 28-9 at home vs. poor defensive teams (30+ shots on goal allowed) the past two seasons. LA is 1-14 this season after winning two of their last three games. They are also 4-19 following a 4+ goal performance. We look for an Anaheim blowout here and we'll back the Ducks -1.5 on the puckline.

3 units on Anaheim -1.5 goals -118 (puckline) (risk 3 to return 5.54)
Result:
LOSS
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