This pick was released to clients on January 17, 2016 at 9:52AM ET.
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Florida at Tampa Bay

January 17, 2016
img5:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

First-place Florida is on an 8-1-1 run, ranked #2 in the NHL in goals allowed, and #9 in penalty killing. The defense helps on the road where Florida is a strong 13-7-2. The Panthers are on a 20-8 run overall, including 13-3 against the Eastern Conference. Florida is also 16-6-9 OVER the total after scoring two goals or less in their previous game. Tampa Bay just finished a stretch playing four of five on the road. The offense is still in the middle of the pack (#15 in scoring and on the power play). Florida has a better road record than Tampa Bay has at home. Florida swept a home-and-home set in November against Tampa Bay, winning 5-4 and 1-0. The feisty nature of this rivalry was seen in the first meeting as the Panthers' Shawn Thornton and Lightning's J.T. Brown both drew misconduct penalties for a third-period altercation. Tampa Bay is on a 7-0 run OVER the total against the Eastern Conference, plus 22-8-2 OVER in Sunday get-away games, while Florida is 17-8-3 OVER in Sunday contests. Inconsistent Tampa Bay is also on a 1-4 run against winning teams, the OVER is 8-3 when they clash (10-2 OVER in Tampa), so grab the first-place dog in an offensive show. Play Florida and the OVER.

1.5 units on Florida +130 (moneyline) (risk 1.5 to return 3.45)
Result:
LOSS
1 unit on Game Total OVER 5 +110 (risk 1 to return 2.1)
Result:
LOSS
FINAL
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Florida Panthers
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Tampa Bay Lightning img
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