While Pittsburgh is a .500 OVER/UNDER team at home, on the road Florida goes UNDER 67% of the time. So we have that built-in advantage on top of a very high 6.5 total. Both of these teams have been scoring like crazy, pushing this line up. But note that in second-half play, teams that score 3+ goals per game after scoring 3+ goals in four straight games go UNDER 69% of the time (46-21 over the past decade). This season Florida is 15-8 UNDER vs. losing teams, 17-7 UNDER vs. teams that allow 3+ goals per game and 19-9 UNDER vs. teams that score 3+ goals per game.
This pick was released to clients on August 08, 2012 at 5:44PM ET.
NHL
Florida at Pittsburgh
January 30, 2007
7:35 PM Eastern
4 units on Game Total UNDER 6.5 +100 (risk 4 to return 8)
Result:
WIN
WIN
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