Florida at Pittsburgh

The Panthers have scored 11 goals in their last two games and Pittsburgh's offense has been clicking, putting up 5+ goals in each of four of their last seven games. How can this one go UNDER? Exactly! Don't over-value recent performance. The reality is that Florida has gone 20-11 UNDER overall, including 14-4 UNDER this season on the road. They are averaging 2.3 goals per game away from home, while holding foes to just 2.4. Over their last five games, they have allowed just 1.8 goals per game. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh plays great defense as well, allowing just 2.3 per game on the season. The Penguins are 19-13 UNDER on the season including 11-6 at home. When facing a goalie with a save percentage of >91% this season (Fluery's rate is 91.7%), the Panthers are 11-2 UNDER this season. Over the past two seasons, the Panthers are 20-5 UNDER on the road after a win by 2+ goals. I like this game to come in UNDER the total.