This pick was released to clients on August 06, 2012 at 5:55PM ET.
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Florida at Buffalo

January 1, 2006
img5:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Buffalo has won 18 of their last 22 to improve to 26-13 on the season. They are 13-6 at home while Florida is an atrocious 3-17 on the road. Florida just can't score away from home (2.3 per game) while they allow goals by the bucketfull (3.6 per game). Buffalo is 18-5 against terrible defensive teams that allow 3+ goals/game this season. The Sabres score 3.7 per game at home. Buffalo wants this one as they have dropped the two previous to Florida this season. Buffalo converts 22.3% of their power play opportunities and 26.5% at home. Florida is 2-13 vs. excellent power play teams that conver 19%+ of their chances this season. The clincher? Big home favorites of -200 or higher ,off an home win scoring 4 or more goals revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 3 or more goals are a near perfect 28-2 (93%) since 1996. Two stars on Buffalo.

2 units on Buffalo -205 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 2.98)
Result:
LOSS
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