This pick was released to clients on August 06, 2012 at 7:07PM ET.
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Florida at Atlanta

March 6, 2006
img7:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Florida has dropped three of four. Two of those losses were as heavier dogs than today and they also won at +190 during that stretch. Florida's defense has been a problem this year as they have allowed 3.1 goals per game. But, Atlanta typically doesn't take advantage of those kinds of opponents as their defense is equally as bad. Florida has managed 3.6 goals per game over their last five games while Atlanta's scoring has fallen off (2.6 per game). Florida gets a lot of shots and lately they have been converting them. Atlanta's defense is susceptible to that as they allow 11.5% SOG conversion. Florida has a shot here and we'll back them with the good value for two stars.

2 units on Florida +166 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 5.32)
Result:
LOSS
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