This pick was released to clients on August 09, 2012 at 1:49PM ET.
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Edmonton at Detroit

February 23, 2007
img7:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Edmonton has won 8 of the last 13 vs. Detroit. More surprisingly they have split with Detroit here in the Motor City - going 3-3 over the past three seasons. Now we get a huge 2.5 - to - 1 line here. The line is big because Edmonton hasn't been playing well and Detroit has been scoring like crazy, and winning. But, Edmonton is off a big win and the three losses prior to that were all by just one goal against teams much better than them (Buffalo, Toronto and Ottawa). The point is, Edmonton hasn't been getting blown out and they have historically played very well against their opponent today. Goaltender Dwayne Roloson in particular fares well against Detroit (he is 2-1 this season vs. the Redwings, allowing just 2.3 per game). Over the past two seasons, Edmonton has a winning record against winning teams while Detroit is just 6-8 at home vs. teams at 40%-50% record. Edmonton is 19-8 UNDER on the road this season while Detroit is 16-11 UNDER at home. Edmonton's a great power-play killing team (allow just 13.4% overall and an incredible 7.9% on the road - 12 goals in 151 tries). Not only does this back up our play on Edmonton here, but it favors the UNDER as well as Detroit is 11-3 UNDER this season vs. teams that allow under 15% power play goals. Edmonton is 16-8 UNDER vs. high scoring teams this year. Edmonton and the UNDER here.

1 unit on Edmonton +255 (moneyline) (risk 1 to return 3.55)
Result:
WIN
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