Edmonton at Carolina

I liked Edmonton a lot in this series before the loss of Roloson. Without him we knew it was going to be tough for the Oilers and now down 2-0, nearly impossible. But, I like them at home in this game. They return home (big advantage for this team) off an embarassing 5-0 loss. They are in a must-win situation and they've had a game now without Roloson. The shock of him going down is gone and the team has a game under their belt without him. I think they find a way to win this important game. Carolina wants to win it but Edmonton HAS to win it and they will fight and scratch all the way to the final buzzer. This is a situational play. Home Favorites of -200 or less off 2 or more consecutive road losses, playing with 2 days rest are 47-15 (76%) in the NHL over the past decade. And, road teams off 2 or more consecutive home wins facing an opponent off 2 or more consecutive road losses are just 16-37 (30%) over the last 5 seasons. Oilers at home here.