Detroit at Toronto

An up-tempo Toronto offense faces a powerhouse Detroit defense. So who controls the tempo? Detroit. Toronto actually plays good defense at home allowing 8 goals in their last four home games. In fact, the UNDER is 5-2 in the Maple Leafs’ last seven home games. The Red Wings come to town with a terrific defense, No. 5 in the NHL in goals allowed while riding a 5-1 run UNDER the total, allowing a total of 13 goals in those six games. The UNDER is also 22-10-1 in the Red Wings’ last 33 against the Northeast Division. I see more defense and fewer goals than oddsmakers anticipate. Play UNDER the total.