Detroit at Dallas

We've been all over Detroit in this series, banking with them on both the moneyline and puckline. We are going to stick strictly with a moneyline pick here as we expect Dallas to play their best game of the series with their backs against the wall. Dallas, down 3-0, obviously needs this game more. They have likely resigned themselves to the reality that they will not win this series. But, their pride will drive them to get at least one win. That being said, we are still backing the Red Wings. They are just too superior of a team. We think they still win this game, although likely not in blowout fashion. The Red Wings are scoring on everyone, in any location. Their last five games have netted them 4.8 goals per game while they have held their opponents to 1.8. Dallas' offense has dissappeared as they get deeper into the playoffs. They have managed just 11 total goals in their last six games, never getting more than 2 in a game. Can they all of a sudden turn that around? Can they all of a sudden shut down a Detroit team that has put up 11 goals on them in three games? Not likely. Detroit is 17-3 off a 2+ goal road win this season. They are also 25-4 the past two seasons off a road win in which they scored 4+ goals. Finally, when the Red Wings smell blood, they turn into sharks as they are 18-3 over the past decade in playoff close-out games.