Dallas at Toronto

We don't see NHL totals get to the six mark very often, but we have one in this game between Dallas and Toronto. Just 35% of all NHL games reach a combined score of seven or more goals, so we have to take a strong look at the UNDER in this one. Toronto certainly shows they can defend, holding 10 of their last 18 opponents to a pair of goals or less. Dallas will likely take the ice in this one with defense in mind, knowing that on the road the game can get away from them. Toronto has been a streaky offense, and it seems that if you let them loose they score in bunches, but if you keep them under wraps, they tend to struggle. Dallas has played a lot better over their last five games, where they have recorded three wins, and have taken note of big scoring opponents and have held them down. The Stars own a 8-3 mark in their last 11 games when facing a team that scored 5 goals or more in their last game, with an extra emphasis on the defensive end. The Stars have been shaky on the defensive end, but have managed a 6-2 mark to the UNDER in their last eight vs. a winning team. Toronto is 8-3 to the UNDER in their last 11 off a win, and five of the last seven in this series have played UNDER the total. Take Dallas and play the UNDER in this one.