Dallas at Ottawa

Dallas is off to a great start anchored by the best defense in the NHL, allowing 1.60 goals per game and the best save percentage (.951). They're also Top 10 in shots on goal allowed and offensive scoring (4.00 gpg). They come off a 5-2 win at Montreal and are 121-74 after scoring 5 goals or more in the last game. Meanwhile, Ottawa is 20th in goals surrendered and 18th in save percentage. They're 3-11 at home after a non-conference game, as well as 3-8 after scoring 5 goals or more in three consecutive contests. Ottawa has also lost nine in a row at home versus a starting goalie that has a save percentage of 91.5% or better. Play Dallas. Also take the UNDER here, given Dallas' defense and the situational spot here. Dating back to the start of the 2020 season, the Stars are 24-12 to the UNDER in road games when playing against winning teams. And, Ottawa is on a 26-14 run to the UNDER in home games vs. winning opponents. They've also gone 51-30 to the UNDER in their last 85 games vs. teams that average over 2.8 goals per game and 22-13 UNDER at home following a game to the OVER. Back the Stars and the UNDER here.