This pick was released to clients on August 09, 2012 at 3:01PM ET.
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Columbus at Anaheim

March 14, 2007
img10:00 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Are we nuts? Well, we've had a lot of success recently backing huge underdogs so we'll take another shot here with Columbus. Columbus has trouble scoring but they have actually been playing some very good defense of late, leading to four wins in their last eight games. They have held four of those eight opponents to 2 goals or less and haven't given up more than 3 goals in six straight games.  Anaheim has been rolling, having won five straight and seven of eight. This is a dangerous spot for them as they won't be able to get up for a matchup vs. Columbus. Favored teams off 2+ home wins facing an opponent off a road loss are actually just a 50% proposition. Columbus is 5-1 in their last six games vs. great defensive opponents (allowing 2.5 or less goals per game). They are also 6-2 in their last eight vs. good offensive teams that average 30+ shots on goal per game. Anaheim has shown they can fall prey to the letdown. They are just 5-7 this season at home vs. horrible defensive teams that allow 3+ goals per game. They are 4-6 at home vs. teams that have been outscored by 0.5+ goals per game. We'll look for a Ducks letdown here and back Columbus.

2 units on Columbus +285 (moneyline) (risk 2 to return 7.7)
Result:
WIN
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