Colorado at Tampa Bay

Colorado has allowed nine goals over the last three games, including a 5-3 loss to Anaheim as a huge favorite. Colorado is s 42-28 OVER the total after playing a road game. Tampa Bay is fourth in the NHL in goals scored and fifth in shooting percentage. The defense, though, is 15th in goals surrendered. Tampa Bay has allowed 11 goals in two games, including a 7-1 loss where Florida had 49 shots. Tampa Bay is 16-8 OVER the total at home when the total is 6 or higher, plus 30-17 OVER after allowing 4 goals or more in the last game. In the first meeting last season, Colorado beat Tampa Bay 4-3, and the first three games of the Stanley Cup Finals between these teams were scores of 4-3, 7-0, and 6-2. Take Colorado/Tampa Bay OVER the total.