Colorado at Ottawa

Colorado is all about attacking on offense, scoring seven goals the last three games, including a 5-3 win over Buffalo as a dog. They also topped Winnipeg and Montreal last month in back-to-back games as a big dog each time, 5-2 and 4-0. The Avalanche have trouble on defense with that attacking offensive style, last in goals allowed and #24 in penalty killing. The OVER is 19-9 for the Avalanche when their opponent allows five goals or more in their previous game. They face an Ottawa squad that limps home from a four-game trip, off a 5-1 defeat at Tampa Bay. Ottawa was last favored at home over Winnipeg and lost 3-2. They were also a -165 favorite at home to Buffalo and lost 3-2, just after they had lost at home to St. Louis, 6-0, as -140 chalk. The Senators are 3-7 when their opponent scores two goals or less in their previous game. Colorado has won 9 of the last 11 meetings and the last four have all been offensive shows (4-0 OVER the total). Play Colorado and the OVER.