This pick was released to clients on August 01, 2012 at 2:25PM ET.
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Colorado at Edmonton

October 21, 2005
img9:05 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

Colorado starts a tough 5 game stretch in which they play Edmonton twice and Vancouver thrice. Colorado can score - there is no doubt about that. With a 3.83 GFA they are tied for sixth and they are tied for 8th in the league with 23 goals total. The AV's had a 3 goal lead early in the second period against LA only to let the kings score 4 straight unanswered goals and lose the game 5-4. Against Nashville on October 12th the Av's blew a 3 goal lead and loss 5-4. What Colorado needs is to play a team that struggles offensively. Aha! Edmonton is the complete opposite of Colorado, they can't score. The Oil is coming off 5 straight losses in which they only scored a total of 6 goals. The offensive discrepancy here is huge. Colorado is scoring 3.8 per game vs. Edmonton 2.4. That is more then a goal a game! Colorado has a 22.5% power play percentage vs. Edmonton's 13.2%. The Av's have a 87.2% penalty killing percentage vs The Oiler's 81.3%. Colorado is 32-19 versus Edmonton since 1996. The value on the money line is good and Colorado is better in most of the statistical departments. Take Colorado over Edmonton here for three stars.

3 units on Colorado +108 (moneyline) (risk 3 to return 6.24)
Result:
WIN
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