Colorado at Dallas

The last four times these teams met, the final total was 7 goals, 12 goals, 9 goals and 9 goals. Colorado's offense takes a big hit on the road vs. at home. But, they "compensate" for that by laxing their defense as they give up 3.1 per game on the road. Dallas is 9-5 OVER this season including 4-2 OVER at home. Over their last three games they have thrown caution to the wind with the average score 3.3 to 5.0. They ahve scored 4+ goals four times in their last nine games and allowed 4+ six out of nine times. The Avs, the past three seasons, are 55-38 OVER vs. teams scoring 2.9+ goals per game. They also tend to relax defensively following an important division game. They are 42-26 OVER in that situation the over that same time span. Dallas is 82-54 OVER after allwoing 3+ goals for two straight games and 10-2 OVER off three straight division games. This is a relatively low total and we see this one getting to 6+ goals.