Colorado at Buffalo

Colorado is a big dog but has been competitive the last six games, 2-4 straight-up, off a 3-2 loss at New Jersey, along with a pair of wins as a dog of +145 against Winnipeg (5-2) and +175 over Montreal (4-0). They face a rebuilding Buffalo squad that doesn't strike fear into anyone, ranked #25 in goals scored, #14 in goals allowed, and #29 in penalty killing. The Sabres haven't recorded consecutive wins since January 20-24, trading wins and losses over their past eight games. Buffalo is 22-47 following a victory, plus 41-88 after allowing two goals or less the last contest. The Avalanche have won 10 of the last 11 meetings, so the wagering value is on the visitors to win the game or lose by one goal. Play Colorado on the puckline.