The Maple Leafs has been spotty all season long even at home. This will be the first time the total goals scored has reached six in their games, and it may be the wrong time. After a trend of OVERS, the Maple Leafs has not exceeded six in their last two games. That is after a streak of eight consecutive games of seven or more goals being scored, so I see value on a total that has crept up after the fact. Toronto has been a much better defensive team off three days rest and the under has been 5-0 the last five times they were in this situation. They have also played under in five of their last six against the Central. These teams have a history of going UNDER as well, producing a very profitable UNDER mark (5-1-1) in their last seven meetings. I'll back the low end here and play UNDER an inflated total.
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