Carolina at Tampa Bay

Both of these teams are hanging by a thread to hopes of reaching the playoffs. Tampa Bay has lost five in a row but remain favored here - for good reason. Carolina is just 11-24 on the road this season, losing by nearly one goal per game. In their last five games, they have been torched on average 2.4 to 3.8. As bad as the Lightning are on the road (10-26), they are decent at home, playing .500 hockey thanks to very good defense. The Hurricanes are just 1-9 this season coming off an embarrassing 2+ goal home loss. They are 5-19 on the road when the total is set at 5.5 goals. I'm on Tampa Bay here.