Tampa Bay used to be an attacking team on offense, but made a coaching change in mid-season and has been overvalued by oddsmakers on totals as they are on a 7-5 run UNDER the total. Two of their last three games have gone UNDER as the offense has fallen off a cliff, losing all three while scoring 6 goals. Tampa Bay is 3-5-3 since Jon Cooper replaced Guy Boucher as coach. The UNDER is 5-2-1 in the Lightning's last eight home games and they catch a break facing a weak Carolina offense, 15th in goals scored, 25th on the power play. Tampa Bay has allowed only four goals against the Hurricanes the last four meetings. Carolina fell to 1-9-1 in April after dropping a 5-3 decision to the Philadelphia Flyers at home on Saturday. The UNDER is 9-3 in the Hurricanes last 12 road games and 9-2 UNDER the total against the Southeast division. And when playing their third game in four nights Carolina is happy to slow the pace down, at 51-25-2 UNDER the total in the third game of a three in four days situation. Play Carolina/Tampa Bay UNDER the total.
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