Calgary at Vancouver

In what is expected to be a low scoring affair, anything can happen. Calgary is scoring just 2.5 per game on the road while Vancouver is scoring 2.3 at home. Calgary's defense is lax on the road but Vancouver always struggles to score - against anyone. Calgary's offense has some potential but Vancouver's defense is very good at home (2.3 per game allowed). In the end, one or both of these teams is like to get 2 or fewer goals. When Calgary scores 2 or less, they are just 3-13 this year. Vancouver is 15-5 when they hold a team to 2 or less. For whatever reason, Calgary is horrible against poor offensive teams as they have won just 19 of their last 63 road games vs. teams that score less than 2.5 goals per game. The Flames are just 3-9 as a road favorite this year and 5-13 overall away from home. In games with a total set at 5 or lower, they are 1-10! We'll take the +1.5 goals on the Canucks as insurance here as a Calgary blowout is very unlikely.