Calgary at Florida

Florida is 5-9 on the road but 8-7 at home. They get a Calgary defense allowing 3.3 goals per game on the road and a Flames offense that is struggling right now, averaging 2.4 goals per game over their last five. Florida is amazing on the power play, converting 23% overall and 27.4% at home. Calgary is 9-17 vs. teams converting 19%+ over the past two seasons. With Florida's defense allowing 2.4 goals per game over the last five, and Calgary scoring the same over their last five, we think Calgary will really struggle offensively here. The past two seasons, Florida has gone UNDER 60% of the time at home vs. losing teams. Calgary is 14-5 UNDER in non-conference games the past three seasons. We like Florida -1.5 and the UNDER here.