Calgary at Atlanta

Prior to a two-goal game with Montreal on Friday (a game in which we won the UNDER), the Thrashers had been going OVER to the tune of seven of their prior eight games. I'm again bucking that trend and going UNDER here. With two apparently good offenses and bad defenses, this line is inflated to the point where we get value on the UNDER. Atlanta's offense has been average all season, but their defense terrible. Calgary is great offensive team at home, but on the road they are simply average. They have gone UNDER the total 32-15 in their last 47 road games with a total of six or more. The Thrashers' defense has improved of late and they are 8-1 UNDER the past couple of seasons when playing in their third straight home game. I like the UNDER here.