Buffalo at New York

The Islanders dropped their first three of the year at home, getting off to a miserable start, but have played a lot better since, especially on home ice. They have won four of their last five here. The last one was a most impressive dismantling of the Redwings 6-0. I don't expect them to put 6 up against the Sabres, but they are winning at home because over the last five they have allowed just 9 goals, and 5 of those were in one game, just 4 in the four others. The Sabres are playing low and tight on the road, grabbing two wins despite scoring just 3 times in their last two roadies. The Islanders have finally risen up to top competition as they are 5-1 at home vs. teams with a road mark of .600+. They have also played 8-2 to the UNDER in their last 10 as a home dog, while the Sabres come in at 18-6-3 to the UNDER in their last 21 as a favorite. I like the Islanders here and the UNDER.