This pick was released to clients on August 09, 2012 at 4:46PM ET.
img NHL

Buffalo at New York

April 18, 2007
img7:35 PM Eastern
Premium Pick

The Sabres should easily win this but the risk is a let down. However, they know they cannot let down. They dropped game two to New York and then needed a strong second-period last game to get the one-goal win. The shine has now come off DiPietro's return. Yes, he gives New York a chance in any game, but he wasn't enough last game and New York is now down 2-1. The Islanders have allowed 104 shots already in the first three games and they can't hold down the league's best team for long. New York has not fared well all season at home in expected low scoring games. They are just 1-7 here this season in games with a total of 5.5. They are also just 13-27 the past two seasons at home vs. winning teams. The fact is, they are a sub-.500 team that is averaging just 2.0 goals per game in the playoffs facing a team that averages 3.5 goals per game on the road. Take the Sabres

4 units on Buffalo -177 (moneyline) (risk 4 to return 6.26)
Result:
WIN
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