Buffalo at Boston

It’s hard to believe that the Bruins who were deadly at home a year ago, have a losing record with the season winding down to the final few days. The problem is the 50 goals they have allowed on home ice over the last 17 played here, which is 3 per contest. That may spell some trouble here as the Sabres have had a lot of explosive games lately. Buffalo has reached or topped the 5-goal mark in five of their last 11 games - good enough to reach this total by themselves. They are also 9-3-1 to the OVER as a dog in this range. The last four games in this series played in Boston have failed to stay under the total as well. I like this one to go OVER the total.