Buffalo at Atlanta

Buffalo is definitely tough on the road but right now they aren't playing great hockey. They have dropped five of seven games, allowing 3+ goals in six of those games. Atlanta is very tough at home right now. A victory here gives them a franchise-record seventh straight home win. With Tampa Bay nipping on their heels, they need to keep winning. The Sabres are seem to be a bit tired, having already played eight games this month with this being their fourth game in five days. Road teams off two straight road wins are just 75-141 (35%) over the past five seasons. Atlanta is playing excellent defense right now having held eight of their last ten opponents to just 2 goals or less. The other two games, they gave up 3 goals. Overall they are averaging just 1.8 goals allowed per game over that span. Atlanta is 16-5 UNDER during March the past two seasons. The Sabres are 13-5 UNDER in the second of back-to-back road games this season. Games with a total of 6+ featuring a good offensive home team (2.9+ goals per game) coming off a game where 3 or fewer total goals were scored are 54-22 UNDER (71%) during second-half play over the last 5 seasons. In what should be a tight, hard-fought game, we like the Thrashers to win and the game to go UNDER.