Boston at Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh may take Boston a bit lightly and that could spell trouble. But, the Bruins are now a .500 road team and they have won five in a row on the road, scoring 17 goals in the process. There is value in this line. Boston owns the better defense here and that will give them a valid shot. Believe it or not, this is a good match-up for Boston. When playing on the road the past three seasons vs. high-scoring teams (those averaging 2.9+ goals per game), the Bruins are actually 36-29. Overall the past two seasons when facing teams that score 3+ goals per game, Boston is 34-19! Meanwhile, the Penguins are 7-12 the past two seasons when facing teams that score under 2.6 goals per game. I like Boston's shot here. I also like the UNDER. The Bruins allow just 2.5 goals per game on the road this season, where they are 15-11 to the UNDER. Pittsburgh is 17-14 UNDER this year at home. When facing winning teams over the past three seasons, the Bruins are 55-35 UNDER. That includes a 21-10 UNDER mark vs. teams at .600 or better. Pittsburgh is 27-12 UNDER vs. teams that score under 2.6 goals per game over the same span. Finally, Boston is 12-4 UNDER this season revenging a loss. Take the Bruins and the UNDER.