Boston at Buffalo

Boston comes off a 5-2 win at Minnesota last night with the offense second in the NHL in goals scored (3.72 pg) and third in shooting percentage. The Bruins are 16-7 OVER the total when playing their third game in four days. Buffalo is third in goals scored (3.63 pg) and fourth in shooting percentage, but the defense is 26th in goals surrendered, 24th in save percentage, and 25th in shots on goal allowed. Buffalo is on a 12-5-1 run OVER the total, 44-27 OVER versus winning teams, and 28-15 OVER against teams that average 3+ goals. They're also 25-13 OVER after having lost three of four and 37-23 OVER at home when the total is 6 or higher. With the last two meetings between these teams 7-1 and 4-3 finals, look for another offensive show. Play Boston/Buffalo OVER the total.