Atlanta at Toronto

Any time you get an 8-4 team laying virtually even money against a 5-7 opponent, you need to look closely at the game. Sure this is a road game for the Thrashers but they are 4-2 away from hom this year while Toronto is 2-5 at home. The Leafs are allowing 3.9 goals per game while Atlanta is scoring 3.7 per game (4.2 over their last five). I look for a relatively high-scoring affair with Atlanta's offense being too much for Toronto. While Toronto has owned this matchup in recent years, I like Atlanta in this one.