Atlanta at Tampa Bay

Atlanta is on a roll having won five straight while Tampa Bay has lost four in a row. But at home, we like the Lightning to either win or keep it very close. Their defense at home is pretty good, allowing 2.7 per game. At home they just don't get blown out. They've only lost 6 of 15 at home by more than a goal and most of those were as heavy underdogs. After a bad run in which they've played several bad games, Tampa Bay is perfect this season against the puck line. Look for the Lightning to win or lose by one goal.