Atlanta at Ottawa

The Atlanta Thrashers and Ottawa Senators have both gotten off to quick starts with the Thrashers coming to Ottawa with an unblemished 2-0 mark, and the Senators at 2-1. The Thrashers have used an offense that has produced five goals per game to win, while the Senators have gotten great play behind the net and on the defensive end of the ice, allowing just three goals in their last two - both wins. So something has to give here. I tend to lean to the home team to control the tempo, and the Senators have done a great job of doing just that. They are now 35-17-2 to the UNDER after a win, while the Thrashers are 4-1-1 to the UNDER after a win. This one won't be as wide open as expected, so I'm playing this one to go UNDER the total.